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Apocalypse Never: Forging the Path to a Nuclear Weapon-Free World

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In a third scenario, perpetrators attack or sabotage a nuclear power plant, causing a release of lethal radioactivity. Such an act could kill thousands of people and contaminate hundreds of square miles for many years to come. Finally, in a fourth scenario, perpetrators obtain some quantity of radioactive material, assemble a conventional bomb around it, transport it to the target (if it is not already there), and set it off, discharging radioactive material in all directions. ” While such a bomb could kill hundreds (from the conventional explosive alone), radioactively contaminate several square miles, and pose a widespread psychological shock, its consequences would be nowhere near as severe as those of an actual nuclear explosion.

55 And, sure enough, China did not remain meek, and within a couple of years, had become a full-fledged nuclear weapon state. The leaders of many other nuclear have-not states may not possess the late chairman’s gift for gripping expression. Nevertheless, nearly a half century later, it is difficult to believe that a number of them will not eventually follow his course. qxd 2/4/10 10:55 AM Page 37 The Essence of the Problem 37 George W. Bush. The forty-third American president repeatedly claimed that the greatest danger facing America and the world today was the threat posed by nuclear weapons and other weapons of mass destruction .

Don’t blame me for it—I don’t know how to make A-bombs. ”53 In the same year, however, another observer made a similar forecast, a prediction that did not in fact specifically happen. ”54 If perpetual proliferation is so inevitable, then why didn’t JFK’s forecast come to pass? Since the dawn of the nuclear age, any individual state that has chosen to forego the nuclear option has undoubtedly considered a number of political, economic, environmental, and other variables in performing a cost-benefit analysis on the question.

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